Nifty Support at 21900? 18 March 2024: Unraveling the Volatile Market Trends of

Delve into the intricate fluctuations of the Nifty Fifty and Nifty Bank on 18 March 2024, amidst sharp spikes and worrisome movements. Explore the NSE Stock Market dynamics, FII/DII data, and option chain insights to decipher if 21900 marks a short-term bottom.

Market Opening: Nifty’s Downturn and Intriguing Recovery

The trading day of 18 March 2024 commenced with Nifty Fifty witnessing a downtrend, opening with a loss of 33 points at 21,990.10, compared to the previous close of 22,023.35. However, what followed was a series of intriguing events characterized by volatile fluctuations.

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Nifty’s Rollercoaster Ride: Peaks and Valleys

Throughout the day, the Nifty Spot exhibited a rollercoaster-like trajectory. It plunged to a low of 21,916.55 around 11:15 AM, only to experience a sharp rise, breaching the 22,000 mark by 12:30 PM. Subsequently, a consolidation phase ensued, preceding another sharp spike that propelled the Nifty to its zenith at 22,123.70.

The Pendulum Swings: Nifty’s Oscillations

Despite the bullish moments, the Nifty 50 encountered a sharp downturn, almost revisiting the previous day’s closing levels. Ultimately, it settled at 22,055.70, clinching a marginal gain of 0.15%. Such oscillations in the Nifty index evoke concerns among traders, complicating day trading strategies.

Banking Sector Dynamics: Nifty Bank’s Performance

Simultaneously, on 18 March 2024, the Bank Nifty commenced with a loss of 135 points at 46,458.75, in contrast to the preceding close of 46,789.95. The day witnessed an inability of the NiftyBank to sustain support levels, as indicated by its struggle around the 46300 mark.

Market Recovery: NiftyBank’s Resilience

Despite the initial setbacks, as the market recuperated, so did the NiftyBank, ascending to a day high of 46,739.25. However, the index concluded the day with a marginal loss of 0.04%, portraying a relatively stronger stance compared to the Nifty.

Institutional Tug of War: FII vs. DII

The dynamics of the NSE Stock Market on 18 March 2024 were significantly influenced by the activities of Foreign Institutional Investors (FII) and Domestic Institutional Investors (DII). FII sold equities worth 2,051.09 crores, juxtaposed with DII’s purchase of equity amounting to 2,260.88 crores.

FII Derivative Statistics for 18 March 2024

You can refer to the image below containing the FII derivative statistics for 18 March 2024.

FII derivative stats For 18 March 2024

Analyzing FII’s Futures: Long-to-Short Ratio

A noteworthy aspect of FII’s involvement in the market was the long-to-short ratio in Index futures, which stood at 0.59, showcasing a slight decrease from the preceding trading day. Such insights into institutional trading behaviors are pivotal in gauging market sentiment.

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Sectoral Indices

  • 1. Nifty Next 50: The Nifty Next 50 index represents the performance of the next batch of 50 companies by market capitalization after the Nifty 50. On 18 March 2024, it opened at 58,072.85 and closed at 58,422.00, marking a positive change of 0.63%. Throughout the trading session, it experienced fluctuations, reaching a high of 58,563.15 and a low of 57,808.70. This index reflects the performance of mid-cap companies, providing investors with insights into the broader market beyond the top 50 companies.
  • 2. Nifty Midcap 100: The Nifty Midcap 100 index comprises 100 mid-sized companies that are not part of the Nifty 50 index. It opened at 46,669.10 and closed at 46,501.65 on 18 March 2024, indicating a slight decline of 0.39%. Despite the overall decrease, it reached a high of 46,847.95 during the trading session. The Nifty Midcap 100 index is often considered a barometer of the performance of mid-sized companies and can offer valuable insights into the growth potential of this segment.
  • 3. Nifty Auto: The Nifty Auto index tracks the performance of automobile companies listed on the National Stock Exchange (NSE). On 18 March 2024, it opened at 20,189.85 and closed at 20,446.60, recording a notable increase of 1.26%. Throughout the day, it demonstrated resilience, with a high of 20,462.70 and a low of 20,102.90. The performance of the Nifty Auto index is influenced by various factors such as consumer demand, regulatory changes, and global economic trends.
  • 4. Nifty FMCG: The Nifty FMCG index comprises companies operating in the fast-moving consumer goods (FMCG) sector, including food, beverages, personal care, and household products. It opened at 54,144.30 and closed at 53,907.85 on 18 March 2024, registering a decrease of 0.46%. Despite the decline, it reached a high of 54,189.10 during the trading session. The Nifty FMCG index is often considered defensive as demand for FMCG products tends to remain stable even during economic downturns.
  • 5. Nifty IT: The Nifty IT index tracks the performance of information technology companies listed on the NSE. On 18 March 2024, it opened at 37,458.85 and closed at 36,886.05, reflecting a significant decline of 1.64%. Throughout the trading session, it experienced volatility, with a high of 37,522.85 and a low of 36,746.60. The performance of the Nifty IT index is influenced by factors such as global technology trends, currency fluctuations, and demand for IT services.
  • 6. Nifty Metal: The Nifty Metal index comprises companies engaged in the metal and mining sector. It opened at 7,781.60 and closed at 7,996.90 on 18 March 2024, marking a substantial increase of 2.49%. During the trading session, it reached a high of 8,015.55, reflecting the sector’s resilience amid market fluctuations. Factors influencing the performance of the Nifty Metal index include commodity prices, demand-supply dynamics, and global economic conditions.
  • 7. Nifty Pharma: The Nifty Pharma index tracks the performance of pharmaceutical companies listed on the NSE. On 18 March 2024, it opened at 18,713.40 and closed at 18,814.35, indicating a modest increase of 0.51%. Throughout the trading session, it demonstrated stability, with a high of 18,851.70. The Nifty Pharma index is influenced by factors such as regulatory changes, research and development activities, and global healthcare trends.
  • 8. Nifty PSU Bank: The Nifty PSU Bank index comprises public sector banks listed on the NSE. It opened at 6,753.40 and closed at 6,782.55 on 18 March 2024, recording a slight increase of 0.32%. Despite the marginal gain, it reached a high of 6,829.00 during the trading session. The performance of the Nifty PSU Bank index is influenced by factors such as government policies, interest rates, and non-performing asset levels.

Spotlight on Market Leaders: Nifty Gainers and Losers

The NSE Nifty Index witnessed notable performances from top gainers such as TATASTEEL, M&M, and JSWSTEEL, contrasting with the struggles faced by top losers including UPL, INFY, and TATACONSUM.

Banking Index Dynamics: BankNifty’s Movers and Shakers

Similarly, within the BANKNIFTY Index, entities like PNB, AXISBANK, and BANKBARODA emerged as gainers, while others like FEDERALBNK, AUBANK, and IDFCFIRSTB grappled with losses, delineating the divergent trajectories within the banking sector.

Option Chain Insights: Deciphering Market Sentiment

An insightful aspect of market analysis lies in exploring the option chain data. On 21 March 2024 expiry, the Nifty exhibited intriguing changes in Open Interest Calls and Puts, shedding light on prevailing market sentiments and potential price directions.

Conclusion: Unraveling Market Mysteries

In conclusion, the market dynamics of 18 March 2024 present a multifaceted narrative characterized by volatility, institutional influences, and divergent sectoral performances. As traders navigate through these intricacies, the question looms: Does Nifty’s flirtation with 21900 signal a short-term bottom, or merely a pit stop in its tumultuous journey?

By dissecting the nuances of the NSE Stock Market, option chain data, and institutional activities, market participants can endeavor to unravel the mysteries underlying market fluctuations, equipping themselves with informed strategies to navigate the ever-evolving terrain of financial markets.

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