Stock Market

Navigating Interim Budget 2024 Expectations: Insights into Tax Slabs, Capex, and Fiscal Deficit

Introduction to the Interim Budget:

As the much-anticipated interim budget approaches, economists and investors eagerly assess the landscape, speculating on potential changes in tax slabs, capex, and the fiscal deficit. In this discussion of CNBC TV18, respected economists Samiran Chakrabarty (Citi), Soumya Kanti Ghosh (SBI), Kaushik Das (Deutsche Bank), and R-Kavita Rao (NIPFP) offer valuable insights into the key expectations from the interim budget set to be presented on Feb 1.

1. Populist Announcements and Election Dynamics:

The video commences by addressing the impact of upcoming elections on budgetary decisions. Samiran Chakrabarty notes historical trends, indicating that interim budgets typically avoid introducing entirely new schemes. However, the panel suggests that smaller adjustments, such as increasing the PM Kisan scheme amount, might be considered as part of the populist expectations in this pre-election year.

Interim Budget 2024 Expectations

2. Tax Cuts and Income Growth:

Shifting the focus to tax-related expectations, the experts discuss the potential for tax cuts, especially in light of the substantial growth in income tax witnessed in the current year. The panel suggests that while limited tax giveaways may be expected for the lowest income bracket, any exemptions should align with encouraging taxpayers to migrate to the new tax regime, which offers fewer exemptions.

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3. Tax Buoyancy and Revenue Expectations:

Addressing the question of tax buoyancy, the experts share their perspectives. Samiran Chakrabarty acknowledges the government’s conservative estimates but anticipates a slightly higher tax buoyancy this year due to improved compliance. The discussion then emphasizes the anticipated boost in non-tax revenue, driven by higher RBI dividends and continued profitability in PSU enterprises.

4. Capex and Fiscal Deficit:

Economists express optimism regarding capital expenditure (capex), expecting a positive surprise. Soumya Kanti Ghosh anticipates double-digit growth in capex, reaching around 3.5% of GDP. The discussion emphasizes the shift from disinvestment to non-tax revenue, driven by the profitability of public sector companies. The economists also discuss the likelihood of divestment reaching expected levels and its positive economic impact.

5. Fiscal Deficit Projections:

While discussing interim budget expectations, the critical question of fiscal deficit projections arises, with varying opinions among economists. Kavita Rao and Kosik Das lean towards a fiscal deficit between 5.2% and 5.4%, allowing room for increased revenue expenditure. Samiran Chakrabarty and Soumya Kanti Ghosh expect a higher fiscal deficit of 5.5%, citing the need for the government to balance fiscal consolidation goals with current economic conditions.

Conclusion:

As the interim budget date approaches, insights from the panel of economists shed light on the expectations and speculations surrounding fiscal policies. The delicate balance between populist measures, tax reforms, and fiscal consolidation will undoubtedly shape India’s economic landscape in the coming year. Investors and citizens alike will keenly await the budget presentation on Feb 1 to witness how these expectations materialize.

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Countdown to Union Budget 2024: Fiscal Deficit, Borrowings and GDP

Introduction: Union Budget 2024

As the anticipation builds around Union Budget 2024, CNBC TV18 hosted a panel discussion featuring prominent economists to delve into the key expectations for the upcoming budget. Latha Venkatesh moderated the discussion, engaging in a conversation with experts including Samiran Chakrabarty of Citi, Soumya Kanti Ghosh of SBI, Kaushik Das of Deutsche Bank, and R-Kavita Rao of NIPFP. In this article, we will analyze the insights shared by the experts regarding fiscal deficit expectations, market dynamics, and the overall economic outlook.

Fiscal Deficit Expectations: Union Budget 2024

The discussion opened with a poll on fiscal deficit expectations for the forthcoming fiscal year, with varying opinions among the economists. Samiran Chakrabarty expressed a pragmatic view, suggesting that achieving a 5.5% fiscal deficit might not be a cause for concern, given the unique circumstances of the year. He emphasized the global Bond index inclusion, which is expected to generate an extra demand of $25 billion for bonds. Chakrabarty argued that a marginally higher fiscal deficit may not pose a significant challenge, especially considering the government’s historical credibility in presenting fiscal numbers.

Soumya Kanti Ghosh echoed similar sentiments, highlighting the historical trend of revisions in fiscal deficit numbers between interim budgets and the actual budgets. He suggested that the government might announce a 5.5% fiscal deficit, with the possibility of the number declining later due to statistical artifacts and an anticipated higher GDP growth rate.

Countdown to Union Budget 2024

Kaushik Das, on the other hand, emphasized the importance of sticking to the fiscal consolidation agenda. He argued that achieving a 5.3% fiscal deficit is feasible and crucial, especially with the opportunity provided by Bond index inclusion. Das stressed the need to demonstrate seriousness about reaching the 4.5% fiscal deficit target in the future.

Market Dynamics and Borrowings: Union Budget 2024

The experts emphasized that the market’s reaction would depend on the expected market borrowings. Regardless of whether the fiscal deficit is 5.3% or 5.5%, the crucial factor is the magnitude of net and gross market borrowings. If the gross market borrowings exceed expectations, it could lead to a market sell-off, irrespective of the fiscal deficit number.

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Nominal GDP Projections: Union Budget 2024

The panel discussed the significance of nominal GDP projections, considering their impact on the fiscal deficit, which is a percentage of the nominal GDP. The advanced estimates, indicating a lower nominal GDP than budgeted, raised questions about real growth and inflation assumptions. The experts suggested a nominal GDP projection of at least 10.5% to 11%, aligning with the expected economic growth and positive wholesale inflation.

Conclusion:

As the countdown to Union Budget 2024 continues, economists remain optimistic about the government’s ability to manage fiscal deficits and demonstrate prudence in economic decision-making. The discussion highlighted the delicate balance between meeting fiscal targets, market dynamics, and the need for credible economic projections. Investors and analysts will be closely watching the budget announcement for cues on the government’s fiscal stance and its impact on the broader economy.

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Navigating Market Trends: Insights from Kenneth Andrade on Banking, Pharma, and More

In a recent video interview with ET Now, Kenneth Andrade, Founder & CIO of Old Bridge Capital Management, shared his perspectives on the current market scenario, offering valuable insights into various sectors. This article delves into Andrade’s views on banking stocks, the metal sector, premium liquor, pharmaceuticals, and the mutual fund space.

1. Banking Stocks: A Cautious Approach

Kenneth Andrade expressed a cautious stance on large-cap financials, emphasizing the pushback from Foreign Institutional Investors (FIIs) due to expensive Indian valuations. He highlighted a preference for Non-Banking Financial Companies (NBFCs) over private banking names, stating his avoidance of banking stocks at the moment.

2. Metals Sector: Potential Opportunities

Contrary to the market sentiment on metals, Kenneth Andrade sees potential in Indian metal companies. He noted that while balance sheets have improved, the key factor for future growth is a potential upswing in steel prices, which he anticipates in the 2024 calendar year.

Kenneth Andrade on Banking, Pharma, and More

3. Premium Liquor Segment: Riding the Wave

Discussing the premium liquor segment, Andrade pointed out its growth potential. He attributed this to India’s rising per capita income and consumption of alcohol. He emphasized the importance of riding the wave of premiumization trends within the category.

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4. Unsecured Lending: A Preferred Space

Andrade shared his preference for unsecured lending, particularly in the NBFC space. He highlighted the opportunities in this sector, citing a significant demand for unsecured loans and the potential for higher yields, provided risk management is effectively implemented.

5. Pharma Sector: Growth and Opportunities

Kenneth Andrade expressed optimism about the pharmaceutical sector, citing clean balance sheets, high cash flow generation, and increased capacities. He believes that the growth in profitability for pharmaceutical companies, especially those targeting international markets, will contribute to a positive outlook.

6. Energy Sector: Opportunities and Caution

Andrade discussed the challenges in the energy sector, particularly in oil and gas. He cautioned investors to tread carefully, considering the valuation of companies in this space. However, he acknowledged the inflationary impact on energy costs, which could positively influence profitability.

7. Mutual Fund Entry: Old Bridge Capital’s Approach

Addressing Old Bridge Capital’s entry into the mutual fund space, Andrade emphasized the extension of their product profile. He highlighted the competitive landscape and the importance of building a niche and a unique investment style rather than focusing solely on distribution.

Conclusion: Kenneth Andrade’s insights

Kenneth Andrade’s insights provide a comprehensive view of the current market trends. Investors may find value in his cautious approach to banking stocks, optimism in the metal and pharmaceutical sectors, and strategic entry into the mutual fund space by Old Bridge Capital. As always, individual investors are encouraged to conduct thorough research before making investment decisions in the dynamic market environment.

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Unveiling Effective Mutual Fund Strategies Amid Market Trends

Introduction:

In the dynamic world of investments, finding the right Mutual Fund Strategies is essential for aligning financial goals with risk tolerance. Wiseinvest’s expert, Hemant Rustagi, shared valuable insights on market trends and answered crucial mutual fund queries in a recent episode of “The Money Show.” This article delves into the discussion, analyzing market movements, assessing effective fund strategies, and providing guidance for potential investors.

Market Overview: Navigating Sideways Movements and Sector-Specific Mutual Fund Strategies

The conversation began by acknowledging the recent sideways movement in the markets, characterized by stock-specific actions. Kartik Kumar, a fund manager from Axis Mutual Fund, emphasized the need to understand the market’s current state for investors grappling with decisions on entering or exiting positions.

According to Kumar, effective Mutual Fund Strategies should consider the natural pause in the market after a robust 2023. He highlighted the seasonal aspect, noting historically weaker January to March quarters. Furthermore, he attributed recent volatility to heavyweight sectors, underscoring the importance of sector-specific mutual fund strategies.

Effective Mutual Fund Strategies

Valuation Insights: Large Caps vs. Mid/Small Caps – Mutual Fund Strategies for Diverse Portfolios

The conversation shifted to valuations, focusing on large caps, midcaps, and small caps. Kumar emphasized that large caps are trading at around 20 times next year’s earnings, a reasonable level when compared regionally. However, mid and small-caps are at all-time high valuations, highlighting the importance of diverse mutual fund strategies.

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Kumar stressed the significance of stock selection in the mid/small cap space, as the previous earnings differential is expected to decrease. Effective Mutual Fund Strategies should consider balancing portfolios with selective approaches within sectors, aligning with current market sentiments.

Global Trends and Risk Factors: A Macro Perspective – Mutual Fund Strategies for Global Diversification

Addressing global trends, Kumar expressed optimism about the Indian market’s resilience, citing a constructive GDP and expected growth rates. He discussed potential risk factors, including geopolitical developments in the Middle East, commodity price impacts, and supply chain disruptions. Effective Mutual Fund Strategies should include global diversification and monitoring of China’s economic stabilization efforts.

Fund Strategies and Sector Allocation: Axis Quant Fund – Tactical Mutual Fund Strategies

The discussion turned to fund strategies, with a focus on Axis Quant Fund. Kumar clarified that the fund is not cap-agnostic but rather opportunistic based on bottom-up stock selection. The fund maintains a balanced approach, with around 60% in large caps and notable exposure to midcaps and small caps. Kumar highlighted bullish sentiments in pharma and automobiles while maintaining underweight positions in financials and the IT sector, emphasizing tactical mutual fund strategies.

Viewer Queries: Balancing Portfolios and Debt Fund Considerations – Customized Mutual Fund Strategies

The article explores viewer queries, addressing concerns about balancing portfolios and the potential inclusion of a balanced advantage fund. Kumar advises against a balance advantage fund for an 8-year horizon, recommending customized mutual fund strategies within sectors like FMCG based on current market sentiments.

Investor Queries: Equity Savings and Debt Fund Considerations – Optimal Mutual Fund Strategies

The conversation concludes with insights into a viewer’s query regarding debt funds and Arbitrage funds. Hemant Rustagi suggests considering dynamic bond funds, emphasizing the potential of Equity Savings funds for a 5-year horizon. He recommends funds such as Kotak Equity Savings and SBI Equity Savings for optimal mutual fund strategies, ensuring a balanced risk-return profile.

Conclusion:

In a dynamic market environment, understanding current trends, valuations, and risk factors is crucial for investors. The expert insights shared in “The Money Show of ET Now” provide valuable guidance for navigating the stock market and making informed decisions. Whether assessing sector allocations, considering fund strategies, or addressing specific queries, the discussed strategies offer a comprehensive and optimal approach to mutual fund investments in the current market scenario.

Mutual funds are subject to market risk. Read all scheme-related documents carefully.

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Decoding Success: The Investment Strategy of Sandeep Tandon at Quant Mutual Fund

Explore the success of Quant Mutual Fund with insights into the investment strategy of Sandeep Tandon. Decoding market triumphs through a unique approach.

Introduction:

Witnessing remarkable growth in recent years, the mutual fund industry has become a dynamic landscape of success stories. One standout example is Quant Mutual Fund, where Sandeep Tandon, the Founder and Chief Investment Officer, has strategically steered the fund’s meteoric rise. In this interview with CNBC TV18, Tandon shares insights into the investment strategy that propelled Quant Mutual Fund to the forefront of the industry.

Unlocking the Formula for Success: Sandeep Tandon’s Approach:

Tandon provides a unique glimpse into the investment strategy that underpins Quant Mutual Fund’s success. He emphasizes a multi-dimensional approach, moving beyond one-dimensional analyses such as valuation, charting, or macroeconomic factors alone. Tandon reveals that Quant Mutual Fund assigns equal weightage to valuation analytics, liquidity analytics, and risk appetite, all crucial components of his investment strategy. Additionally, he places special emphasis on time analytics, integrating these parameters into a comprehensive, time-based investment approach.

Investment Strategy of Sandeep Tandon

Macro Matters in Sandeep Tandon’s Investment Strategy: The Role of Global Macroeconomics:

Tandon challenges the traditional notion that macroeconomic variables are less significant in the investment equation. He asserts that a top-down perspective, starting from global macroeconomic factors and trickling down to micro-level analyses, provides a more comprehensive understanding. Tandon emphasizes the need to factor in variables like crude prices and currency fluctuations, especially for large corporations like Reliance Industries, where these macro elements significantly impact earnings—a crucial element of his investment strategy.

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Behavioral Sciences and Sentiment Analysis in Investment Strategy of Sandeep Tandon:

One distinctive feature of Quant Mutual Fund’s investment strategy is the incorporation of behavioral sciences and sentiment analysis. Tandon elaborates on how the fund uses predictive analytics to quantify sentiments such as fear and greed, drawing on macro and microdata. By decoding the collective behavior of retail investors, institutions, and the broader market, Quant Mutual Fund can anticipate market movements and sentiment shifts, a key component of Tandon’s investment strategy.

Retail Revolution and Sandeep Tandon’s Investment Strategy: A Paradigm Shift:

Discussing the surge in retail participation, Tandon acknowledges the transformation in retail investors’ behavior over the last decade. Contrary to historical patterns where retail investors entered the market at its peak, today’s retail investors exhibit a more mature and informed approach. Tandon notes that the recent influx of retail investment is particularly noteworthy on down days, signaling a shift in market dynamics—a phenomenon integral to his investment strategy. This indicates a more resilient and knowledgeable retail investor base contributing significantly to the current market rally.

Conclusion: Sandeep Tandon’s Investment Strategy Shaping the Future:

In conclusion, Sandeep Tandon’s investment strategy, a unique blend of macroeconomic analyses, behavioral sciences, and a time-based approach, has played a pivotal role in Quant Mutual Fund’s success. As retail investors continue to play a crucial role in shaping market dynamics, Tandon’s ability to decode sentiment and anticipate market movements positions Quant Mutual Fund for sustained success in the ever-changing financial landscape. The investment strategy of Sandeep Tandon stands as a beacon for those navigating the evolving mutual fund industry.

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Axis Quant Fund Insights: Navigating Market Volatility with Karthik Kumar

Explore the dynamic market insights and investment strategies of Axis Quant Fund with Karthik Kumar. Gain a comprehensive perspective on market volatility.

Introduction:

In the ever-evolving world of investments, understanding market dynamics and fund manager perspectives is crucial for investors looking to make informed decisions. In a recent episode of The Money Show, Karthik Kumar, Fund Manager at Axis Mutual Fund, shared valuable insights on the Axis Quant Fund and provided a comprehensive analysis of the current market scenario. In this article, we’ll delve into the key points discussed in the interview, including market movements, valuations across market caps, global trends, and the strategy behind Axis Quant Fund.

Market Overview:

As Karthik Kumar highlighted, the markets have experienced a period of sideways movement with distinct stock-specific actions. The discussion opened with an exploration of the current market scenario, addressing the challenges investors face in determining entry or exit points. Kumar emphasized that the recent market pause is a natural correction after a robust performance in 2023.

Axis Quant Fund Insights: Navigating Market Volatility with Karthik Kumar

Valuations Across Market Caps:

The conversation then shifted to the critical aspect of valuations across market caps. Large-cap stocks were discussed as trading at around 20 times next year’s earnings, not considered outright expensive but reflecting a premium compared to regional markets. In contrast, midcaps and small caps are currently at their all-time highs in terms of valuation. Kumar stressed the importance of stock selection in these segments, as the asset revaluation through multiple expansion has largely occurred.

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Global Trends and Risks:

Kumar expressed a constructive outlook for Indian markets, citing the country’s resilient GDP and expected growth rates. He touched upon global trends, emphasizing the potential impact of a softening U.S. economy and mild recessions in European markets. Two significant risks highlighted were geopolitical developments in the Middle East affecting regional stability and commodity prices, as well as developments in China that could influence global markets.

Axis Quant Fund Strategy:

Discussing Axis Quant Fund, Kumar clarified that the fund is not strictly cap-agnostic but rather driven by bottom-up stock selection opportunities. The fund maintains a balanced approach, with approximately 66% exposure to large caps, 18.5% to midcaps, and 14.2% to small caps. The investment philosophy centers around growth at reasonable prices (GARP). Kumar revealed specific sector preferences, such as being bullish on pharma, automobiles, and consumer discretionary, while remaining underweight on financials and IT.

Outlook on Specific Sectors:

The interview touched on the outlook for sectors like FMCG, healthcare, and power. Kumar expressed optimism for healthcare and power sectors due to fundamental reasons. However, for FMCG, he advocated for selectivity, considering the subdued volumes reported by companies in the recent earnings season.

Conclusion:

In a rapidly changing market environment, staying informed is key to making sound investment decisions. Karthik Kumar’s insights on Axis Quant Fund and the broader market provide investors with valuable perspectives on navigating through market volatility. As always, it is advisable for investors to conduct further research and consider their financial goals before making any investment decisions.

Mutual fund investments are subject to market risks, read all scheme related documents carefully.

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Global PE Firm EQT Aims to Invest $5 Billion in India Over Next 3-4 Years

Global private equity firm EQT is gearing up for a significant expansion in its India investments, with plans to inject at least an additional ₹5 billion over the next three to four years. The firm, which manages assets worth over $250 billion, has already committed ₹2 billion in the last 10 months, focusing on the financial and healthcare services sectors. CNBC TV18’s special episode of Big Deal features EQT’s top India team discussing their investment strategy and key themes for the Indian market.

Optimism in Indian Investments:

Last year proved to be a milestone for the PE Firm in India, marked by a significant exit with CoForge’s listing on the stock exchanges. Jimmy, a representative from EQT, highlighted the firm’s continued optimism in India, emphasizing their thematic investment approach. Since 2013, EQT has been a major player in the Indian market and remains committed to the country’s growth story. In their latest fund (Fund VIII), India represents over 40% of the capital committed, showcasing a substantial focus on the Indian market.

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Thematic Investment Approach:

EQT’s investment strategy is characterized by a thematic approach, identifying key trends and seeking companies that align with those trends. This approach aims to identify businesses with robust growth potential and lower downside risk. The firm remains enthusiastic about India’s prospects, having been the largest PE investor in the country since 2013.

EQT Aims to Invest $5 Billion in India

EQT’s Focus On Financial Services

Ashish, another member of EQTGROUP‘s India team, sheds light on the firm’s focus within the financial services sector. The PE Firm continues to concentrate on affordable housing, financing micro and small enterprises, and wealth management. While acknowledging the potential of the banking sector, EQT’s thematic buyout focus may lead them toward opportunities in affordable housing and wealth management.

Infrastructure and Growth Sectors:

EQT’s differentiated offering in infrastructure involves value-add growth rather than typical yield investing. The firm focuses on digital energy, environment, transportation, logistics, and social infrastructure. Notable platforms include O2 Power, concentrating on solar, wind, and hybrid battery solutions, and EdgeConect, partnering with Adani Group to build data centers serving hyper scalers and global cloud players in India.

Market Drivers and Potential:

Discussing key drivers for India’s growth, EQTGROUP emphasizes structural policy changes like GST implementation, investments in the digital stack (UPI, Aadhar), and the bankruptcy and insolvency code. These initiatives have unlocked India’s potential, driving the emergence of the middle class and increasing demand for services like healthcare and education.

Future Investment Outlook:

Looking ahead, EQT anticipates deploying another $5 billion in the next three to four years, building on the $2 billion committed in the past 10 months. While remaining cautious and evaluating opportunities on a case-by-case basis, EQT’s commitment reflects confidence in India’s economic trajectory.

Conclusion:

EQT’s ambitious plans to invest $5 billion in India over the next 3-4 years underscore the firm’s belief in India’s economic potential. With a thematic investment approach, a focus on key sectors, and a track record of successful exits, the company’s strategy aligns with India’s evolving market dynamics. As the firm continues to navigate the Indian investment landscape, its insights and initiatives will be closely watched, contributing to India’s position as a key destination for global private equity.

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Decoding India’s Market Trends With Sandeep Tandon Founder of Quant Mutual Fund

In a recent conversation with CNBC TV18, Sandeep Tandon, the Founder and Chief Investment Officer (CIO) of Quant Mutual Fund, shared his perspectives on the Indian market, focusing on emerging investment themes and his outlook for the year ahead. Let’s delve into the key takeaways from this insightful discussion.

Unveiling the Market Thesis:

Sandeep Tandon began by discussing the market thesis for India from a financial market perspective. He emphasized a shift from the growth-at-any-price cycle that lasted until September 2021 to the resurgence of the value thesis. Tandon highlighted the potential of value as a decade-long investment strategy, citing the significant moves in Public Sector Undertakings (PSUs) as a representation of the value thesis.

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PSU and Mining Sectors – A Winning Combination:

Expressing optimism, Tandon discussed the positive momentum in the metal and mining sectors. He anticipates this trend continuing into 2024, especially for PSU mining companies. By combining the strength of PSU and mining stocks, Tandon believes these companies could deliver even better performance.

Decoding India's Market Trends With Sandeep Tandon

Strategic Portfolio Allocations:

Addressing specific sectors, Sandeep Tandon revealed that PSUs constitute a substantial portion of Quant Mutual Fund’s portfolio, ranging from 18% to 25%, depending on the scheme. He highlighted the remarkable performance of the Railway and defense sectors within the PSU space. Additionally, Tandon touched upon the fund’s strategic investments in Hindustan Copper, citing it as a successful macro call.

Pharma Sector and Emerging Opportunities:

Tandon discussed the Pharma sector as a neglected zone with substantial potential. With a focus on US generics, he emphasized the sector’s positive outlook, considering it a bottomed-out cycle with attractive valuations. Additionally, Tandon expressed interest in the emerging opportunities in the consumption sector, particularly in food companies.

Evaluation of IT Services:

While acknowledging the importance of IT services, Tandon expressed caution, stating that Quant Mutual Fund is not overtly bullish on this sector. He emphasized a preference for Pharma over IT services due to better clarity in the former.

HDFC Bank and Banking Sector:

Surprisingly, Tandon disclosed that Quant Mutual Fund has significantly pruned down its exposure to the banking sector, including HDFC Bank. He attributed this decision to a data-driven approach, stating that the risk appetite for the banking sector has peaked out, and liquidity is declining.

Market Outlook for 2024:

Concluding the discussion, Tandon shared his larger thesis, expressing continued optimism about India’s manufacturing sector. While acknowledging that the easy phase of the bull run is over, he expects a minimum of 24,000 in 2024, signifying robust growth in terms of returns.

Closing Remarks By Sandeep Tandon

In a nutshell, Sandeep Tandon’s insights offer a comprehensive view of Quant Mutual Fund‘s strategic positioning, emphasizing the importance of sector rotation and data-driven decision-making in navigating the evolving landscape of the Indian financial market.

Conclusion:

As investors navigate the dynamic Indian market, the insights provided by Sandeep Tandon serve as a valuable guide. Quant Mutual Fund’s approach, characterized by a focus on neglected sectors and strategic portfolio allocations, reflects a nuanced understanding of market trends and potential opportunities in 2024.

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Navigating Bull Markets With Madhusudan Kela: Insights from Market Veteran


In a recent episode of CNBC TV18’s Market Cafe, renowned market veteran Madhusudan Kela shared his insights on navigating a bullish market. With over 30 years of experience in the stock market, Kela delved into his observations and strategies for investing in a market that seems to be constantly rising.

Identifying Long-Term Themes:


Madhusudan Kela emphasized the importance of identifying long-term themes that align with broader market trends. He highlighted the theme of carbon neutrality and sustainability, foreseeing it as a powerful trend that will unfold over the next two decades. Kela mentioned that major industrial houses like Adani, Reliance, and Jindal are already making significant efforts in the green energy sector, making it a lucrative area for potential investments.

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Market Stability and Continuity:


Discussing the current market scenario, Madhu Kela pointed out three key factors contributing to its stability. Firstly, he highlighted the political stability and policy continuity witnessed in the last decade, providing a favorable environment for investors. Secondly, Kela noted India’s stable macroeconomic factors, including inflation, interest rates, and currency, contributing to a more robust market valuation. Lastly, he emphasized the emergence of equity as a stable asset class, attracting a growing number of domestic investors.

Navigating Bull Markets With Madhusudan Kela

Challenges in a Rising Market: Madhusudan Kela’s View


Madhu Kela acknowledged the challenges of investing in a market that continuously rises, especially for experienced investors. He explained how extensive knowledge and experience might work against investors during euphoric market patterns. Despite this, he remained optimistic about the current market, attributing its differences to factors such as political stability, macroeconomic stability, and the evolving global geopolitical landscape.

Investing in PSU Stocks:


Addressing the surge in PSU stocks, Madhu Kela provided a nuanced perspective. While some argue that PSU stocks are overvalued, Madhusudan Kela urged investors not to dismiss them outright. He highlighted the potential value in PSU stocks, citing examples of companies like Railways and Defense. Madhusudan Kela cautioned against labeling the entire PSU sector as overvalued and encouraged investors to assess individual opportunities within this space.

Identifying Investment Opportunities:


Madhu Kela shared his approach to identifying investment opportunities within a rising market. He advised investors to focus on sector rotation, recognizing that different sectors present varied opportunities. Kela emphasized the need for patience, especially when waiting for corrections that may not come as expected. He urged investors to be selective, identifying themes that align with long-term trends and holding onto quality stocks despite market fluctuations.

Conclusion:


Madhusudan Kela’s insights provide valuable guidance for investors navigating bullish markets. His emphasis on identifying long-term themes, understanding market stability factors, and approaching PSU stocks with discernment offers a strategic perspective for individuals looking to make informed investment decisions. As the market continues to evolve, Madhusudan Kela’s wisdom serves as a beacon for those seeking success in the ever-changing world of finance.

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NSE Share Bazaar Update on 25 January 2024: Nifty and BankNifty Navigate Volatility

Explore the market dynamics of NSE Share Bazaar on 25 January 2024, unraveling FII/DII data. Gain insights into the day’s stock movements and plan your strategies wisely.

Today’s NSE Share Bazaar

Introduction

On 25 January 2024, the NSE Share Bazaar experienced a day of mixed sentiments, marked by fluctuations in share prices, option chain movements, and crucial FII/DII trading activity. In this comprehensive analysis, we delve into the performance of NSE Nifty, BankNifty, and other key indices, shedding light on top gainers and losers, option chain data, and the influence of Foreign Institutional Investors (FII) and Domestic Institutional Investors (DII) on the market.

NSE Nifty Highlights On 25 January 2024

The day commenced with Nifty opening at 21,454.60, nearly identical to the previous close of 21,453.95. Despite a flat start, Nifty plunged to a low of 21,247.05, witnessing a dip of over 200 points. However, the market rebounded in the closing hours, ending the day at 21,352.60, reflecting a marginal loss of -0.47%. This oscillation provided a ray of hope for investors, especially considering the monthly expiry of futures and options contracts.

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BankNifty Performance On 25 January 2024

Parallelly, BankNifty followed a similar trajectory, initiating the day at 45,057.95. Experiencing a low of 44,429.00, it showcased resilience in the closing session, concluding at 44,866.15 with a decrease of -0.48%. The recovery in the afternoon session contributed to optimism among traders, hinting at a positive start for the next trading session on 29 January 2024.

Nifty Index Snapshot

Let’s now delve into the specifics of Nifty indices on 25 January 2024, highlighting the open, high, low, and closing prices along with notable gainers and losers.

NSE NIFTY:

  • Open: 21,454.60
  • High: 21,459.00
  • Low: 21,247.05
  • Close: 21,352.60
  • Previous Close: 21,453.95
  • Change: -0.47%

Top Gainers:

  1. BAJAJ-AUTO
  2. ADANIPORTS
  3. NTPC

Top Losers:

  1. TECHM
  2. CIPLA
  3. BHARTIARTL

BANKNIFTY:

  • Open: 45,057.95
  • High: 45,139.05
  • Low: 44,429.00
  • Close: 44,866.15
  • Previous Close: 45,082.40
  • Change: -0.48%

Top Gainers:

  1. PNB
  2. INDUSINDBK
  3. IDFCFIRSTB

Top Losers:

  1. AUBANK
  2. BANDHANBNK
  3. HDFCBANK

Other Key Indices On 25 January 2024

  • NIFTY NEXT 50:
    • Change: 0.15%
  • NIFTY AUTO:
    • Change: 0.11%
  • NIFTY MIDCAP 50:
    • Change: -0.87%
  • NIFTY FMCG:
    • Change: -1.15%
  • NIFTY IT:
    • Change: -1.6%
  • NIFTY METAL:
    • Change: 0.14%
  • NIFTY PHARMA:
    • Change: -1.3%
  • NIFTY PSU BANK:
    • Change: 0.13%

FII/FPI and DII Trading Activity in Cash Segment

On the FII/FPI and DII front, the trading activity on 25 January 2024 reflected the following in ₹ Crores:

  • DII:
    • Buy Value: 12,353.83
    • Sell Value: 8,878.94
    • Net Value: 3,474.89
  • FII/FPI:
    • Buy Value: 34,280.27
    • Sell Value: 36,424.33
    • Net Value: -2,144.06

FII/FPI and DII Data in Derivative Segment on 25 January 2024

FII/FPI and DII Trading Activity in Derivative Segment on 25 January 2024

Option Chain Data

Examining the option chain data for Nifty and BankNifty, specific attention should be given to the top three changes in Open Interest Calls and Puts.

NIFTY – 1 Feb 2024 Expiry:

  • Top 3 Changes in Open Interest Calls:
    1. 21400CE: 24,558
    2. 21500CE: 23,473
    3. 21300CE: 16,047
  • Top 3 Changes in Open Interest Puts:
    1. 21400PE: 12,581
    2. 21300PE: 11,715
    3. 21500PE: 12,162

BANKNIFTY – 31 Jan 2024 Expiry:

  • Top 3 Changes in Open Interest Calls:
    1. 45000CE: 68,967
    2. 44800CE: 19,984
    3. 44900CE: 15,593
  • Top 3 Changes in Open Interest Puts:
    1. 45000PE: 37,795
    2. 44800PE: 18,293
    3. 44900PE: 11,841

Conclusion

In conclusion, the NSE Share Bazaar on 25 January 2024 showcased resilience in the face of initial volatility, with indices recovering in the closing hours. The intricate analysis of Nifty, BankNifty, and other key indices, coupled with insights into FII/DII activity and option chain data, equips investors with valuable information to navigate the ever-evolving landscape of the stock market. As traders anticipate the next session on 29 January 2024, the market dynamics remain dynamic, emphasizing the need for strategic decision-making in the days ahead.

NSE Share Bazaar Update on 25 January 2024: Nifty and BankNifty Navigate Volatility Read More »

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